New Report: Gap Between Appraiser & Homeowner Perceptions Doubled in July

Staff Report From Georgia CEO

Friday, August 14th, 2015

Quicken Loans, the nation's second largest retail mortgage lender, today reported appraiser opinions of home values were 2.33 percent lower than homeowner estimates in July, according to the company's national Home Price Perception Index. The gap between homeowner estimates and appraiser opinions of value in July was nearly double the gap between these values in May.

Quicken Loans' Home Value Index, the only measure of home values based exclusively on actual home appraisals, reported national housing values were nearly flat, with a 0.27 percent drop in value. The index showed a 3.89 percent value growth nationally since July 2014.

Home Price Perception Index (HPPI)

Homeowners are increasingly overvaluing their homes, according to the national HPPI. The study showed appraisers' opinions of home values was, on average, 2.33 percent lower than homeowners' estimates in July. Last month's gap was nearly double the difference between opinions in June when appraisers' opinions were 1.40 percent less than homeowners' estimates.

"Many homeowners around the country are seeing the national headlines about home value increases and they are optimistic about their equity increasing," said Quicken Loans Chief Economist Bob Walters. "While some areas are seeing the same level of home appreciation, or even more, there are also some areas that have slower home value increases. This can lead to homeowners and appraisers not quite seeing eye-to-eye."

Home Value Index (HVI)

Home values across the nation continue to rise above last year's levels, although they are practically flat on a monthly basis. The HVI reported national values decreased 0.27 percent from June to July, but increased 3.89 since last July.

"A slowing of home value increases adds to the misunderstanding of local home values," Walters continued. "Appraisers are viewing the housing industry every day; they know when home values growth may be slowing. Homeowners may think values are still skyrocketing, when they have instead returned to more healthy appreciation in their area."

 

HVI
July 2015

 

January 2005 = 100

HVI

July 2015

vs.

June 2015

% Change

HVI

July 2015

vs.

July 2014

% Change

HPPI

July 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

July 2014

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

National
Composite

93.74

-0.27%

+3.89%

-2.33%

+1.98%

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

 

Geographic

Regions

 

HVI

July 2015

 

January 2005 = 100

HVI

July 2015

vs.

June 2015

% Change

HVI

July 2015

vs.

July 2014

% Change

HPPI

July 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

July 2014

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

West

111.21

+0.07%

+6.30%

-2.04%

+4.38%

South

95.54

+0.00%

+3.34%

-2.30%

+2.74%

Northeast

92.27

-0.60%

+0.87%

-2.50%

-0.57%

Midwest

78.16

-0.69%

+1.20%

-2.55%

+0.01%

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

 

Metropolitan

Areas

HPPI

July 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

June 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

July 2014

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

San Jose, CA

+5.96%

+6.11%

+4.41%

San Francisco, CA

+5.35%

+5.39%

+5.71%

Denver, CO

+4.21%

+4.22%

+3.98%

Houston, TX

+3.24%

+3.37%

+3.72%

Dallas, TX

+2.76%

+2.85%

+3.45%

Portland, OR

+2.30%

+2.28%

+2.63%

Los Angeles, CA

+1.94%

+2.44%

+5.16%

Boston, MA

+1.63%

+1.78%

+1.91%

Sacramento, CA

+1.35%

+1.73%

+4.88%

Riverside, CA

+1.32%

+1.36%

+2.00%

Las Vegas, NV

+0.83%

+1.23%

+5.47%

Washington, D.C.

+0.80%

+1.10%

+2.25%

Seattle, WA

+0.66%

+1.13%

+3.54%

Miami, FL

+0.56%

+0.75%

+3.80%

Detroit, MI

+0.07%

+0.59%

+2.53%

Minneapolis, MN

-0.02%

-0.04%

+3.05%

San Diego, CA

-0.16%

-0.22%

+4.45%

Phoenix, AZ

-0.24%

-0.08%

+3.68%

Tampa, FL

-0.64%

-0.42%

+2.99%

Atlanta, GA

-0.93%

-0.89%

+2.85%

New York, NY

-0.96%

-0.90%

-0.37%

Baltimore, MD

-1.17%

-0.87%

+0.04%

Cleveland, OH

-1.36%

-1.26%

-2.25%

Chicago, IL

-2.04%

-1.45%

-0.91%

Charlotte, NC

-2.15%

-2.02%

-0.13%

Kansas City, MO

-2.69%

-3.19%

-0.81%

Philadelphia, PA

-3.03%

-2.83%

-3.47%

 

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.