Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. Declined Slightly

Staff Report From Georgia CEO

Monday, August 24th, 2015

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. declined 0.2 percent in July to 123.3 (2010 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in June, and a 0.6 percent increase in May.

"The U.S. LEI fell slightly in July, after four months of strong gains. Despite a sharp drop in housing permits, the U.S. LEI is still pointing to moderate economic growth through the remainder of the year," said Ataman Ozyildirim, Director of Business Cycles and Growth Research at The Conference Board. "Current conditions, measured by the coincident economic index, have been rising moderately but steadily, driven by rising employment and income, and even industrial production has improved in recent months."

The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.2 percent in July to 112.5 (2010 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in June, and a 0.1 percent increase in May.

The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index for the U.S. increased 0.3 percent in July to 118.1 (2010 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in June, and a 0.3 percent increase in May.

 

Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes

 

2015

 

6-month

 

May

 

Jun

 

Jul

 

Jan to Jul

                 
                 

Leading Index

122.9

 

123.6

 

123.3

p

   

  Percent Change

0.6

r

0.6

 

-0.2

 

1.7

 

  Diffusion

70.0

 

80.0

 

75.0

 

70.0

 
                 

Coincident Index

112.1

r

112.3

r

112.5

p

   

  Percent Change

0.1

r

0.2

 

0.2

 

0.7

 

  Diffusion

50.0

 

100.0

 

100.0

 

75.0

 
                 

Lagging Index

116.9

r

117.7

r

118.1

p

   

  Percent Change

0.3

r

0.7

 

0.3

 

2.1

 

  Diffusion

57.1

 

78.6

 

64.3

 

78.6

 
                 

p  Preliminary     r  Revised

             

Indexes equal 100 in 2010

             

Source:  The Conference Board