Across the Country, Consumers are Moving Out of the Subprime Credit Score Category

Press release from the issuing company

Friday, February 1st, 2013

The number of consumers with subprime credit scores is shrinking across the country, according to new data from Equifax. The total number of consumers with Equifax credit scores below 620 fell 2.1%, or by about 1 million consumers, in the third quarter of 2012 versus the third quarter of 2011.  The overall share of consumers with Equifax credit scores under 620 fell by 0.7% (from 25.9% to 25.2%) during that same period.

The trend is playing out to varying degrees in different metropolitan areas, with Chicago seeing the largest decline in consumers with Equifax credit scores below 620. In the Chicago-Gary-Kenosha metro area, 1.5 million consumers had a credit score of 619 or below in the third quarter of 2012, a 9 percent decline from the same quarter in 2011.

On the other end of the spectrum, Houston is the only metro area among the top 25 that had an increase in consumers with Equifax credit scores below 620, with a 0.6 percent increase in the number of consumers in the lowest category when compared to the same period in 2011.  However, when accounting for population growth in Houston, the percentage of the Houston population with subprime credit scores fell by 0.5 percent.

Credit scores below 620 are considered subprime for the purposes of this report. A consumer with an Equifax score below 620 likely will have a harder time securing credit from a bank or other lender and may have to pay a higher interest rate if a loan is secured.

"Consumer credit scores are improving in most major metropolitan areas," said Trey Loughran , president of the Personal Solutions division at Equifax. "The job market is improving and time is starting to heal the wounds of the Great Recession."

The geographic differences can be attributed to a number of factors, including employment, population shifts and demographic changes. For instance, in Chicago, the unemployment rate declined 1.5 percentage points to 8.8 percent – the fifth best improvement in unemployment among the largest 25 metro areas. Also, there are significant improvements in early housing-bust markets such as San Francisco, Sacramento, San Diego, Los Angeles,Las Vegas, Phoenix and Miami, where people's credit scores are starting to recover after foreclosures.

"It is nice to see that over 1 million people across the country have moved out of the below 620 range," said Loughran. "We are seeing a trend of consumers being careful and disciplined about their use of existing credit while also being cautious about using new accounts they have opened."

Top 25 Metro Markets: Number of Consumers with Equifax Credit Scores Below 620 
Q3, 2012 vs. Q3, 2011

 
   

Total 619 & Below

Total 619 & Below

% Change

 

Top 25 Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Q3, 2011

Q3, 2012

 

1

New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island NY-NJ-CT-PA

3,306,563

3,248,660

-1.8%

2

Los Angeles-Riverside-Orange County CA

3,326,552

3,149,559

-5.3%

3

Chicago-Gary-Kenosha IL-IN-WI CMSA

1,688,835

1,536,648

-9.0%

4

Washington-Baltimore DC-MD-VA-WV CMSA

1,545,133

1,528,358

-1.1%

5

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose CA CMSA

984,035

920,594

-6.4%

6

Philadelphia-Wilmington-Atlantic City PA-NJ-DE-MD CMSA

1,178,359

1,164,211

-1.2%

7

Dallas-Fort Worth TX CMSA

1,418,294

1,373,994

-3.1%

8

Boston-Worcester-Lawrence MA-NH-ME-CT CMSA

848,824

837,057

-1.4%

9

Houston-Galveston-Brazoria TX CMSA

1,288,945

1,296,214

0.6%

10

Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint MI CMSA

1,160,113

1,137,517

-1.9%

11

Atlanta GA MSA

1,289,238

1,275,933

-1.0%

12

Miami-Fort Lauderdale FL CMSA

1,137,305

1,102,803

-3.0%

13

Phoenix-Mesa AZ MSA

850,651

819,090

-3.7%

14

Seattle-Tacoma-Bremerton WA CMSA

602,351

596,029

-1.0%

15

Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI MSA

438,838

428,367

-2.4%

16

San Diego CA MSA

509,449

482,219

-5.3%

17

Denver-Boulder-Greeley CO CMSA

434,798

428,726

-1.4%

18

Cleveland-Akron OH CMSA

520,970

518,758

-0.4%

19

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL MSA

647,248

642,954

-0.7%

20

St. Louis MO-IL MSA

493,859

486,388

-1.5%

21

Portland-Salem OR-WA CMSA

404,681

400,684

-1.0%

22

Pittsburgh PA MSA

375,265

369,091

-1.6%

23

Las Vegas NV-AZ MSA

512,930

490,759

-4.3%

24

Sacramento-Yolo CA CMSA

371,947

348,953

-6.2%

25

Orlando FL MSA

528,232

521,646

-1.2%