Manufacturing activity in Georgia was up in September after four months of decline, accordingto the Econometric Center at Kennesaw State University’s Michael J. Coles College of Business. 

Georgia’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)  —  a reading of economic activity in the state’s manufacturing sector  — was up 1.6 points in September, to 52, with new orders, employment and supplier delivery time accounting for the increase.  New orders were up 8 points, to 58; employment was up 1.9 points, to 50; and supplier delivery time was up 11.6 points, to 56. Georgia’s PMI is 0.5 of a point higher than the national PMI reading of 51.5.

“The solid growth in new orders may be signaling that the PMI’s four-month slide may have run its course,” said Don Sabbarese, professor of economics and director of the Econometric Center at the Coles College of Business. “But the increase over the past month is insufficient as proof of that. We need to see where the PMI is headed as the year comes to an end.”

Other highlights of the September  PMI include:

·         Production was down 5.6 points, to 50

·         Finished inventory was down 7.7 points, to 46

·         Commodity prices were down 3.9  points, to 48

The Georgia PMI provides a snapshot of manufacturing activity in the state, just as the monthly PMI released by the Institute for Supply Management provides a picture of national manufacturing activity. A PMI reading above 50 indicates that manufacturing activity is expanding; a reading below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The Georgia PMI reading is a composite of five variables — new orders, production, employment, supply deliveries and finished inventory. A sixth variable, commodity prices, is compiled by the Coles College’s Econometric Center but does not go into the PMI calculation.

The PMI, compiled from a monthly survey of manufacturers, is the earliest indicator of market conditions in the sector. Since manufacturing, which accounts for 11 percent of GDP, is sensitive to changes in the economy, it can also reveal changing macroeconomic trends. 

The PMI’s value is in its timeliness and sensitivity to variables such as interest rates, global markets and other economic changes. The Georgia PMI provides valuable data used by institutions such as the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to assist in their analysis of current economic conditions, along with many other data sources, to get a picture of economic activity.