National Credit Default Rates Remain at Historical Lows in July
Press release from the issuing company
Wednesday, August 20th, 2014
Data through July 2014, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed a slight decline in default rates. The national composite posted 1.01% in July, down one basis point from last month. The composite's default rate remains the lowest in over 10 years of history. After nine consecutive months of declines, the first mortgage default rate fell to 0.88%. Auto saw its rate remain unchanged at 0.96% and is only four basis points above its historical low. The bank card rate declined 16 basis points to 2.86%.
"Consumer credit default rates dipped slightly below last month's rate," says David M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee for S&P Dow Jones Indices. "At just above one percent, default rates remain at historical lows. Mortgage default rates have been trending down while Auto and Bank Card are a bit higher than their historical lows set in April and March. Driven by mortgages, household debt decreased in the second quarter of 2014. Non-housing debt rose slightly in the second quarter. In the latest Federal Reserve survey of lending standards, a small portion of banks reported some easing of standards while most banks reported no change.
"Los Angeles dropped to its lowest default rate of 0.66%. Dallas saw its default rate decline by seven basis points and is only a few basis points away from its historical low set in May 2014. Chicago and Miami are at their lowest default rates since 2006. Miamicontinues to maintain the highest default rate of 1.51% while Los Angeles posted the lowest default rate of 0.66%. All five cities –Chicago, Dallas, Los Angeles, Miami and New York – remain below default rates seen a year ago."
The table below summarizes the July 2014 results for the S&P/Experian Credit Default Indices. These data are not seasonally adjusted and are not subject to revision.
S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
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National Indices |
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Index |
July 2014 |
June 2014 |
July 2013 |
Composite |
1.01 |
1.02 |
1.35 |
First Mortgage |
0.88 |
0.89 |
1.25 |
Second Mortgage |
0.52 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
Bank Card |
2.86 |
3.02 |
3.22 |
Auto Loans |
0.96 |
0.96 |
1.03 |
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
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Data through July 2014 |
The table below provides the S&P/Experian Consumer Default Composite Indices for the five MSAs:
Metropolitan |
July 2014 |
June 2014 |
July 2013 |
New York |
1.14 |
1.13 |
1.52 |
Chicago |
1.17 |
1.24 |
1.75 |
Dallas |
0.80 |
0.87 |
0.97 |
Los Angeles |
0.66 |
0.75 |
1.56 |
Miami |
1.51 |
1.68 |
2.06 |
Source: S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices |
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Data through July 2014 |