Home Prices Continued to Decline in November 2011

Press release from the issuing company

Tuesday, January 31st, 2012

Data through November 2011, released today by S&P Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller(1) Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed declines of 1.3% for both the 10- and 20-City Composites in November over October. For a second consecutive month, 19 of the 20 cities covered by the indices also saw home prices decrease. The 10- and 20-City Composites posted annual returns of -3.6% and -3.7% versus November 2010, respectively. These are worse than the -3.2% and -3.4% respective rates reported for October.  In addition to both Composites, 13 of the 20 MSAs saw their annual returns decrease compared to October's data. New York and Tampa saw no change in annual returns in November; while Charlotte, Cleveland, Denver, Minneapolis and Phoenix saw their annual rates improve. At -11.8% Atlanta continued to post the lowest annual return. Detroit and Washington DC were the only two cities to post positive annual returns of +3.8% and +0.5%, respectively, in November. While positive, both cities saw these annual rates fall versus October's data.

In November 2011, the 10- and 20-City Composites recorded annual returns of -3.6% and -3.7%, respectively. Both Composites and 13 MSAs – Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Dallas, Detroit, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Portland, San Diego, San Francisco,Seattle, and Washington DC – saw their annual rates worsen in November compared to October.

"Despite continued low interest rates and better real GDP growth in the fourth quarter, home prices continue to fall. Weakness was seen as 19 of 20 cities saw average home prices decline in November over October," says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Indices. "The only positive for the month was Phoenix, one of the hardest hit in recent years. Annual rates were little better as 18 cities and both Composites were negative. Nationally, home prices are lower than a year ago. The 10-City Composite was down 3.6% and the 20-City was down 3.7% compared to November 2010. The trend is down and there are few, if any, signs in the numbers that a turning point is close at hand.

"The crisis low for the 10-City Composite was April 2009; for the 20-City Composite the more recent low was March 2011.  The 10-City Composite is now about 1.0% above its low, and the 20-City Composite is only 0.6% above its low. From their 2006 peaks, both Composites are down close to 33% through November.

"Atlanta continues to stand out in terms of recent relative weakness.  It was down 2.5% over the month, after having fallen by 5.0% in October, 5.9% in September and 2.4% in August. It also posted the weakest annual return, down 11.8%.  In addition,Atlanta, Las Vegas, Seattle and Tampa all reached new lows in November."

As of November 2011, average home prices across the United States are back to the levels where they were in mid-2003. Measured from their June/July 2006 peaks through November 2011, the peak-to-current decline for both the 10-City Composite and 20-City Composite is -32.9%. The recovery from recent lows are +1.0% and +0.6%, respectively.

As in October 2011, Phoenix was the only MSA that posted a monthly gain, +0.6% in November. Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites were down 1.3%, from their October 2011 levels. Atlanta, Cleveland, Detroit and Las Vegas were the four cities where average home prices were below their January 2000 levels.

The table below summarizes the results for November 2011. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are revised for the 24 prior months, based on the receipt of additional source data. More than 24 years of history for these data series is available, and can be accessed in full by going to www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November 2011

November/October

October/September

 

Metropolitan Area

Level

Change (%)

Change (%)

1-Year Change (%)

Atlanta

88.93

-2.5%

-5.0%

-11.8%

Boston

150.34

-1.6%

-1.1%

-1.6%

Charlotte

111.25

-0.5%

-1.1%

-1.9%

Chicago

112.46

-3.4%

-1.8%

-5.9%

Cleveland

98.94

-0.8%

-0.9%

-1.1%

Dallas

113.97

-1.3%

-0.9%

-0.8%

Denver

124.79

-0.5%

-0.2%

-0.2%

Detroit

70.66

-2.4%

-2.4%

3.8%

Las Vegas

91.41

-1.0%

-1.5%

-9.1%

Los Angeles

163.92

-1.0%

-1.5%

-5.4%

Miami

137.47

-0.5%

-1.2%

-4.4%

Minneapolis

113.25

-0.6%

-1.5%

-5.0%

New York

165.66

-1.1%

-1.5%

-2.3%

Phoenix

101.12

0.6%

0.3%

-3.6%

Portland

133.26

-1.6%

-0.5%

-4.8%

San Diego

151.45

-0.9%

-0.6%

-5.4%

San Francisco

129.78

-1.9%

-0.7%

-5.5%

Seattle

132.65

-1.2%

-1.0%

-6.3%

Tampa

125.32

-1.1%

-0.5%

-6.1%

Washington

184.75

-1.1%

-0.4%

0.5%

Composite-10

151.90

-1.3%

-1.2%

-3.6%

Composite-20

138.49

-1.3%

-1.3%

-3.7%

Source: S&P Indices and Fiserv

 

 

 

 

Data through November 2011

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.

A summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data can be found in the table below.   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

November/October Change (%)

October/September Change (%)

Metropolitan Area

NSA

SA

NSA

SA

Atlanta

-2.5%

-1.2%

-5.0%

-3.6%

Boston

-1.6%

-0.5%

-1.1%

-0.3%

Charlotte

-0.5%

-0.1%

-1.1%

-0.3%

Chicago

-3.4%

-2.1%

-1.8%

-1.4%

Cleveland

-0.8%

-0.2%

-0.9%

-0.2%

Dallas

-1.3%

-0.4%

-0.9%

-0.1%

Denver

-0.5%

0.4%

-0.2%

0.5%

Detroit

-2.4%

-1.3%

-2.4%

-1.2%

Las Vegas

-1.0%

-0.9%

-1.5%

-1.9%

Los Angeles

-1.0%

-0.9%

-1.5%

-1.0%

Miami

-0.5%

-0.8%

-1.2%

-1.0%

Minneapolis

-0.6%

0.1%

-1.5%

-0.7%

New York

-1.1%

-0.5%

-1.5%

-1.4%

Phoenix

0.6%

0.6%

0.3%

0.0%

Portland

-1.6%

-1.1%

-0.5%

-0.3%

San Diego

-0.9%

-0.4%

-0.6%

0.0%

San Francisco

-1.9%

-1.3%

-0.7%

-0.1%

Seattle

-1.2%

-0.7%

-1.0%

-1.0%

Tampa

-1.1%

-0.7%

-0.5%

0.1%

Washington

-1.1%

-0.2%

-0.4%

0.2%

Composite-10

-1.3%

-0.7%

-1.2%

-0.6%

Composite-20

-1.3%

-0.7%

-1.3%

-0.7%

Source: S&P Indices and Fiserv

 

 

 

 

Data through November 2011