India and China Continue to Pace Gold Demand

Press release from the issuing company

Friday, August 19th, 2011

Gold's strong start to the year was reinforced during the second quarter of 2011 where total global gold demand measured 919.8 tonnes (t), worth a near-recordUS$44.5bn, with broad-based support across all sectors and geographies. Standout markets wereIndiaandChina, as these two markets accounted for 52% of total bar and coin investment and 55% of global jewellery demand, the World Gold Council announced today.

According to theGold Demand Trendsreport for Q2 2011, gold demand in the second half of 2011 will remain strong owing to a number of key factors:

  • Despite a higher gold price, Indian and Chinese demand grew 38% and 25% respectively during Q2 2011 compared to the same period of 2010. This growth is likely to continue, due to increasing levels of economic prosperity, high levels of inflation and forthcoming key gold purchasing festivals.
  • The impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the downgrading of US debt, inflationary pressures and the still-fragile outlook for economic growth in the West are all likely to drive high levels of investment demand for the foreseeable future.
  • Central banks are likely to remain net purchasers of gold. Purchases of 69.4t during Q2 2011 demonstrated that central banks are continuing to turn to gold to diversify their reserves.

Marcus Grubb, Managing Director, Investment at the World Gold Council commented:

"The strength of demand inIndiaandChina, coupled with an overall drop in recycling activity this quarter, demonstrates that consumers have adjusted to the current price environment and expect the upward price trend to continue. In addition, ongoing macro economic uncertainty, the continued sovereign debt crisis and widespread inflationary pressures, will result in gold demand remaining strong."

Gold Demand Statistics for Q2 2011:

  • Global gold demand in the second quarter of 2011 totalled 919.8t, down 17% from the remarkably strong levels of 1,107t in the second quarter of 2010. Gold demand in value terms grew by 5% year-on-year reachingUS$44.5bnup fromUS$42.6bnin the second quarter of 2010. This is the second highest quarterly value on record, only fractionally below theUS$44.7bnrecord that occurred in the fourth quarter in 2010.
  • The quarterly average gold price rose by 26%, reaching a record high ofUS$1,506.13(as per the London PM fix).
  • Second quarter 2011 global investment demand was 359.4t, 37% down year-on-year from 574.2t in the second quarter in 2010, which was the second highest quarter ever.
  • ETFs witnessed solid net inflows of almost 51.7t during the second quarter of 2011, which compared well to the previous 12 quarters (excluding two record peaks) where ETF inflows have averaged 41.4t.
  • Demand for gold bars and coins totalled 307.7t during the second quarter of 2011, a gain of 9% over year-earlier levels of 282.6t. In value terms, bar and coin demand was worthUS$14.9bn, an increase of 37% fromUS$10.9bnin the second quarter of 2010.
  • Jewellery demand in the second quarter of 2011 was 442.5t, 6% higher than the year-earlier levels of 416.7t. In value terms, this represented a 34% increase toUS$21.4bnfromUS$16.0bnin the same quarter last year.India,ChinaandTurkeytogether accounted for 59% of global jewellery demand at 260.1t in the second quarter of 2011 and registered a combined growth of 36.1t on year- earlier levels.
  • Technology demand was up by 2% at 117.9t from 116.1t in the second quarter of 2010, generated by an increase in demand from the electronics segment. In value terms this was a quarterly record ofUS$5.7bn, up 28% from the next highest in Q4 2010 ofUS$4.5bn.
  • Gold supply was 1,058.7t in the second quarter of 2011, which was a 4% decline from 1,108.3t in the same period in 2010, as a result of an increase in net purchasing by central banks. Mine production rose by 7% to 708.8t from year-earlier levels of 659.4t in 2010.
  • Central banks' purchases this quarter more than quadrupled compared to the levels of the second quarter in 2010.
  • Recycling activity stood at 429.3t, 3% down year-on-year from 444.3t in the second quarter of 2010.

A copy of the Q2 2011 Gold Demand Trends report, which includes comprehensive data, can be viewed at:www.gold.org/media/.