The Conference Board Employment Trends Index Declines
Press release from the issuing company
Tuesday, August 9th, 2011
The Conference Board Employment Trends Indexdecreased slightly in July to 100.6, down from June's revised figure of 100.9. The July figure is up 4 percent from a year ago.
SaysGad Levanon, Associate Director of Macroeconomic Research at The Conference Board: "The Employment Trends Index declined in three of the past four months, and is signaling employment growth of less than 100,000 per month through the end of 2011. Despite weak employment growth in recent months, GDP has been growing even slower in the first half of 2011. There is simply not enough growth in production to warrant stronger hiring."
This month's decrease in the ETI was driven by negative contributions from three out of the eight components. The weakening indicators include The Conference BoardConsumer Confidence Survey"Jobs Hard to Get," Percentage of Firms With Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now and Job Openings, which is a forecasted component.
The Employment Trends Index aggregates eight labor-market indicators, each of which has proven accurate in its own area. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called "noise" to show underlying trends more clearly.


