August 2011 U. S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook

Press release from the issuing company

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

Freddie Macreleased today its U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook for August showing that despite the recent ups and downs in the capital markets the likelihood of an extended period of both relatively low short- and long-term interest rates is helpful news for the housing market's recovery as it continues to struggle.

Outlook Highlights

  • Employment was up 117,000, the best showing since April, and the unemployment rate edged down a tenth to 9.1 percent.
  • Over the first half of 2011, growth was figured to be about 0.8 percent at an annual rate, far too weak to generate enough jobs to keep pace with labor force growth.
  • Compared with the first quarter of 2008, borrowers are paying about$130 billionless in mortgage interest today, at an annual rate.
  • The likelihood of an extended period of both relatively low short- and long-term interest rates is helpful news for the housing market's recovery.
  • Interest rates on 15-year fixed-rate loans – always popular for borrowers considering to refinance – reached about 3.5 percent in early August, assuring the refinance boom continues.
  • Freddie Mac House Price Index(SM) for the U.S. shows that prices are down 25 percent, on average, as ofJune 2011compared with their peak obtained five years ago.

Click here to view the completeAugust 2011 U.S. Economic and Housing Market Outlook. Freddie Mac compiles data on major economic and housing and mortgage market indicators and offers forecasts based on those indicators.

Quotes

Attributed toFrank Nothaft, Freddie Mac, vice president and chief economist.

  • "While the capital markets have experienced sizeable movements up and down in recent weeks, these swings are unlikely to lead to whiplash or hospitalization for individual investors. Heightened uncertainty, unfortunately, can be harmful to the overall economy."