The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. Declines
Press release from the issuing company
Thursday, May 19th, 2011
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. declined 0.3 percent in April to 114.0 (2004 = 100), following a 0.7 percent increase in March, and a 0.9 percent increase in February.
Says Ataman Ozyildirim, economist at The Conference Board: "The U.S. LEI has been rising since March 2009, with only a brief one-month interruption in June 2010, and now, in April 2011. The U.S. CEI, a monthly measure of current economic conditions, continued to increase, supported by improving employment figures. Overall, the composite indexes still point to strengthening business conditions in the near term, although the path may be uneven."
Says Ken Goldstein, economist at The Conference Board: "The economy has been growing moderately and delivering some new jobs. The U.S. LEI was rising strongly – up sharply in four of the five months through March – but slipped in April. Economic growth will likely continue through the summer and fall, but the pace of economic activity may be choppy."
The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the U.S. increased 0.1 percent in April to 102.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in March, and a 0.1 percent decline in February.
The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index® (LAG) increased 0.5 percent in April to 108.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in March, and a 0.3 percent increase in February.
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Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes |
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2011 |
6-month |
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|
Feb |
Mar |
Apr |
Oct to Apr |
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|
Leading index |
113.5 r |
114.3 r |
114.0 p |
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|
Percent Change |
.9 r |
.7 r |
-.3 p |
3.5 |
|
|
Diffusion |
80.0 |
70.0 |
35.0 |
70.0 |
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|
Coincident Index |
102.5 r |
102.7 p |
102.8 p |
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|
Percent Change |
-.1 r |
.2 p |
.1 p |
1.3 |
|
|
Diffusion |
37.5 |
87.5 |
87.5 |
100.0 |
|
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Lagging Index |
108.0 r |
108.3 p |
108.8 p |
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|
Percent Change |
.3 |
.3 p |
.5 p |
0.6 |
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|
Diffusion |
50.0 |
35.7 |
71.4 |
35.7 |
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n.a. Not available p Preliminary r Revised |
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Indexes equal 100 in 2004 |
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Source: The Conference Board |
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