Cassidy Turley reports surging demand, tightening vacancy in the industrial sector
Press release from the issuing company
Friday, April 15th, 2011
Washington - Cassidy Turley, a leading commercial real estate services provider in the U.S., reports the industrial sector took a giant step forward in the ongoing recovery.
"The speed of the recovery in the industrial sector is accelerating and despite worrisome developments overseas, overall momentum should remain positive," said Kevin Thorpe, Chief Economist at Cassidy Turley. "After a few quarters of tepid improvement, pent up demand for warehouse space is now being unleashed."
According to Cassidy Turley, in the first quarter of 2011, net demand registered at +24.7 million square feet – an absorption level that rivals some of the quarterly gains made during the last real estate boom, 2004 to 2007. Net absorption has turned positive throughout most of the country. Of the 67 markets tracked, 47 markets registered net gains in demand. All four U.S. regions reported net increases for the quarter, the South leading the way with +13.3 million square feet absorbed. Markets registering the strongest gains included Atlanta, Chicago, Phoenix and Dallas – all recording over 2 million square feet of net demand.
The report finds that U.S. industrial vacancy, which began stabilizing in 2010, is now trending downwards in 2011. Overall, vacancy rates decreased by 20 basis points (BPS) from the previous quarter to 9.5 percent. Vacancy is still 100 BPS above its historical average of 8.7 percent dating back to 1990. According to the report, rents are finally beginning to stabilize, but at very low levels. Average asking rents registered at $5.08 NNN for the quarter, down just two cents from the previous quarter. Rents are down 12 percent from their peak level of $5.70 observed in the third quarter of 2008.
"All the factors that drive the industrial sector are generally heading in the right direction," said Mr. Thorpe. "Economic data on the manufacturing sector remains bright and persistent consumer spending as well as improving global demand continue to power the recovery. Geopolitical risks cloud the outlook – and rising oil prices remain a major threat - but the positive momentum still outweighs the downside risks, and odds still easily favor that the industrial recovery will continue."
According to Cassidy Turley's research, industrial property sales continue to gain momentum as values rise. New offerings reached $3.5 billion in February-the highest since March of 2010. U.S. cap rates have been steadily trending down for months, and currently sit at 8.1 percent.
Cassidy Turley's 1st Quarter National Industrial Trends Report can be accessed here.


